Spring training and the season’s early days provide an opportunity
for the baseball fan to optimistically speculate. He or she envisions what
might happen if the back end of the rotation comes together, and the young
closer holds up, and the cleanup hitter finally has that bounce-back year we
thought he would the last couple of seasons. You’re allowed to think, "if
things go just right, our roster just might put up numbers like this" :
1B : .324 BA, 47 HR, 148 RBI, 1.050 OPS, Gold Glove
2B :.331 BA, 24 HR, 91 RBI, 221 hits, League Batting Champ
SS : .300 BA, 57 HR, 142 RBI, 1.015 OPS, Gold Glove, League HR
Champ
3B : .276 BA, 32 HR, 110 RBI, .355 OBP
LF : .300, 20 HR, 101 RBI, .405 OBP
CF : .325 BA, 25 HR, 108 RBI, 27 SB
RF : .325 BA, 35 HR, 140 RBI, .960 OPS
C : .332 BA, 35 HR, 113 RBI, .914 OPS, Gold Glove, League MVP
DH : .330 BA, 31 doubles, .882 OPS, 15 SB
SP : 18-10, .3.27 ERA, 217 K
SP : 14-8, 3.46 ERA, Gold Glove
SP : 16-6, 4.47 ERA, 180 K
SP : 14-9, 5.19 ERA
SP : 12-12, 3.39 ERA, 166 K
RP : 3-4, 2.13 ERA, 49 saves
RP : 4-5, 2.49 ERA, 38 saves
RP : 1-2, 1.96 ERA, 21 saves
RP : 4-4, 2.40 ERA, 28 saves
RP : 3-1, 2.79 ERA, 7 saves
RP : 4-1, 2.52 ERA, 10.8 K/9
That looks like a team that could win some games, huh? Actually, the
roster with which I’m associating those stats finished last just over a decade
ago.
The squad was the one whose on-field performance bummed me out the
most of any baseball team with which I've ever been associated. Of course, they
didn't put up the numbers listed above during the year in question. Here were
the actual totals that season for those players :
1B : .273 BA, 43 HR, 105 RBI, .962 OPS
2B :.262 BA, .690 OPS
SS : .300 BA, 57 HR, 142 RBI, 1.015 OPS, Gold Glove, League HR
Champ
3B : .211 BA, .632 OPS, 49 G
LF : .296, 1 HR, 17 RBI, 51 G
CF : .267 BA, 16 HR, 62 RBI, 105 G
RF : .282 BA, 8 HR, 35 RBI, 70 G
C : .314 BA, 19 HR, 60 RBI, 108 G
DH : .269 BA, 3HR, 23 RBI, 68 G
SP : 9-8, 5.75 ERA, 145.2 IP
SP : 13-8, 3.84 ERA, Gold Glove
SP : 4-5, 5.42 ERA, 111.1 IP
SP : 6-9, 3.93 ERA, 146.2 ERA
SP : 3-5, 4.98 ERA, 28 K, 59.2 IP
RP : 2-0, 1.29 ERA, 10 saves
RP : 2-3, 6.66 ERA, 1-4 in save opportunities
RP : 3-6, 4.22 ERA, 1 save
RP : Did not pitch, injured
RP : 3-2, 3.44 ERA, on the D.L. until June
RP : 3-2, 5.45 ERA, 1.5 WHIP
Those numbers look more like they might have come from a 72-90
team, the record the 2002 Texas Rangers actually posted. Why was that group the
most disappointing for me? It was because of how high the ceiling could have
been for the team. The numbers in the first table came from individual
campaigns posted within three seasons of 2002 by players on that ’02 Rangers
roster. Here are the identities of those players and the years in which they
put up those monster statistics.
1B : Rafael Palmeiro, 1999
2B : Michael Young, 2005
SS : Alex Rodriguez, 2002
3B : Hank Blalock, 2004
LF : Rusty Greer, 1999
CF : Carl Everett, 1999
RF : Juan Gonzalez, 2001
C : Ivan Rodriguez, 1999
DH : Frank Catalanotto, 2001
SP : Chan Ho Park, 2000
SP : Kenny Rogers, 2005
SP : Dave Burba, 2000
SP : Ismael Valdez, 2004
SP : Doug Davis, 2004
RP : Francisco Cordero, 2004
RP : John Rocker, 1999
RP : Dan Kolb, 2003
RP : Jeff Zimmerman, 2001
RP : Jay Powell, 2001
RP : Todd Van Poppel, 2001
Note : I used traditional stats as opposed to advanced metrics to
keep the blog more accessible, but even traditional numbers have no problem
supporting the contention that the roster had talent that had recently, or
would soon, produce(d) prodigiously.
In the spring, every player aspires to have a career year, and
every fan of his franchise shares that hope. Of course, all the guys on a team
won’t have their best seasons at the same time. The more talent collected
together, though, the better the chances that at least some of it will
contribute big years in accordance with pedigrees and track records. The
numbers above, for the most part, were not outliers, either. While I picked the
best seasons within three years of 2002, almost all of those players had one or
more (or many more) seasons nearly as good. You don’t expect it to all go wrong
all at once for so many different guys with that level of talent.
What got me so emotionally involved with the 2002 Rangers was a
meeting the marketing department had with General Manager John Hart shortly
before spring training. He walked us through the thinking behind each player
they had acquired and explained how ownership had stepped up to add substantial
extra payroll when Gonzalez and Park saw their prices drop a bit on the free
agent market. One could tell John was excited about the roster and we were,
too.
One of my jobs with the Rangers was creating TV commercials, and I
thought fans would be as excited to hear John talk about this Murderers Row as
I had been. We shot a spot in Florida that year where he enthusiastically ran
through the lineup. He showed up with sunglasses and I asked him to keep them
on when we shot. I felt like they added a cool, "yeah, this lineup is made
up of some bad dudes" vibe. Fans like feeling as if their team has guys
who can put a beatdown on the rest of the league.
The spot backfired. When the team started the season poorly,
John's "cool" demeanor in the commercial came to be perceived as
"aloof." One particularly hateful columnist dubbed him "The
Empty Golf Shirt." He came under a lot of media criticism as the season
went south. I will always have a great deal of respect for John Hart, because
he could have taken me or another subordinate to task for the spot and its
unintended contribution to negative media perception of him. He never did and
he was never less than pleasant or respectful any time I worked with him.
When a team does creative based on team performance, it makes
sense to have some backup advertising in the hopper. We had such a plan, but injuries
defeated it. Two days after we finished editing a spot welcoming Juan Gonzalez
back to Texas, he got hurt. A week later Ivan Rodriguez’s injury invalidated a
spot starring him and Frank Catalanotto. It wouldn’t have mattered much anyway,
as Catalanotto joined him on the D.L. less than a month later. Michael Young
stayed healthy the whole season, but Gabe Kapler, who co-starred in two of his
three spots, got hurt in June.
Michael Young and Gabe Kapler on set (photo courtesy Brad Newton/Texas Rangers) |
That wasn’t the worst of it. A lack of scheduling prowess that
spring had prevented us doing a spot with Chan Ho Park and Ivan Rodriguez
together, but Park’s April 5 trip to the D.L. would have negated its
effectiveness anyway. We did shoot a commercial with relievers Jeff Zimmerman,
Jeff Powell, and Todd Van Poppel appearing opposite a very cute little girl. It
was no fun explaining to her mom why we could never edit the spot, as Powell
missed two months and Zimmerman the entire season. Those early season injuries,
in fact, caused the John Hart spot, planned for only an early season run, to
stay on the air far longer than intended. The extra exposure, with the lineup
not performing as hoped, didn’t help its reputation.
Of course, the injury bug caused even more damage to the product
on the field than it did to the marketing department. The club set a team
record for total days spent on the disabled list. 17 different players,
including all the closers, spent time on the D.L. Hideki Irabu had started to
flourish in that role, so we did a video to play on the scoreboard when he entered
a game. I believe it ran once before blood clots finished his season.
The team opened the season with five quality outfielders : Juan
Gonzalez, Carl Everett, Rusty Greer, Gabe Kapler, and Frank Catalanotto. All
five spent time on the D.L. Greer never had another Major League plate
appearance.
You couldn’t blame all the injuries on age, either. The team
carried only two position players over age 33, and neither Bill Haselman nor
Rafael Palmeiro visited the disabled list. The Rangers had good young talent,
too. Had Blalock, Young, Colby Lewis, Joaquin Benoit, Kevin Mench, Travis
Hafner, Mark Teixeira, and Ryan Ludwick been a season or two closer to their
breakthrough seasons, or if R.A. Dickey had taken up the knuckleball sooner,
perhaps things would have gone differently.
And things might go differently for your team this year. The
current team in Arlington seems beset by injuries, but with none season-ending,
they could easily find themselves in the thick of the race. Hopefully your
favorite will be more the 2013 Miami Heat that lived up to expectations than
the 2013 Toronto Blue Jays, whose stars couldn’t duplicate past performances.
Teams (even fantasy teams) have to play the games on the field,
with the guys available to play them, and past or future glories have bearing
on the game, the season, or the at-bat at hand. We have to accept that reality
sometimes delivers a high hard one, and realize that no matter how much it
enrages us, we have no way to charge the mound.
Most of my brain understands that.
The other part of my head really, really wants to know what would
have happened if Chan Ho hadn’t gotten hurt that spring and Juan had hit like
he did for the Indians and Zim hadn’t proven that bad things can happen to good
people and Pudge had played the full season, and a July trade had shored up the
rotation, and . . .
Rush Olson has spent two decades
directing creative efforts for sports teams and broadcasters. He currently
creates ad campaigns and related creative projects for sports entities through
his company, Rush Olson Creative & Sports.
RushOlson.com
Linkedin.com/company/rush-olson-creative-&-sports
Facebook.com/RushOlsonCreativeandSports
All statistics cited in this article came from
BaseballReference.com or Texas Rangers media guides.
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